12
Frosted Sky
3yo Filly · 8-9 · OR 53
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 8.6)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA56 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA61 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-23 | Dundalk | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength77%
Delivery trend +6.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/04/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 14/06/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 03/08/2026 | 13th | 18/1 | 5% | 20% | +0.15 |
| 09/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |