4
Leveraging
3yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 72
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Cork | BHA72 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA79 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Curragh | BHA80 | 20th | 20th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Dundalk | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-05 | Dundalk | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength19%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 10th | 100/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 27/09/2025 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 18/07/2026 | 20th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/09/2026 | 18th | 33/1 | 0% | 19% | +0.19 |