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6

Soulful Diva

3yo Filly · 9-11 · OR 69

Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f

#12

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed improved form when runner-up in handicap at the Curragh (5f) last month. Hasn't been at the same level over 6f the last twice, though still remains lightly raced on all-weather (made the frame here only previous outing). Shortlisted.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 20/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 5f Goo 12120/05C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 5f Goo 128C1 @ ParisLongchamp 31/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 4f213y Sft 122 · beat its mark31/08/2025 · OR 81 par31/08C1OR 81BHA80 @ Dundalk 19/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 80 · 5f Std 131 · below its mark19/09/2025 · OR 80 parBHA78 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 78 · 6f Goo 132 · below its mark01/07/2026 · OR 78 par1/0778OR 78BHA78 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR 78 · 5f205y Goo 133 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 78 parBHA74 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR 74 · 5f Goo 142 · below its mark16/08/2026 · OR 74 par16/0874OR 74BHA74 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 27 · OR 74 · 6f Goo 141 · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 74 parBHA71 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 22 · OR 71 · 6f Goo 131 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 71 par9/0971OR 71projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA719th9th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA7413th13th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA742nd2nd0
2026-07-22NaasBHA789th9th0
2026-07-01FairyhouseBHA786th6th0
2025-09-19DundalkBHA804th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/0519/0916/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%

Delivery trend -4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/05/20258th25/10%42%+0.42
14/08/20251st50/10%100%+1.00
31/08/20258th50/10%22%+0.22
19/09/20254th14/126%67%+0.40
01/07/20266th22/10%50%+0.50
22/07/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
16/08/20262nd12/137%90%+0.53
22/08/202613th10/147%54%+0.06
09/09/20269th16/116%62%+0.46