13
Spirit Above
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 52
Dundalk · View Restaurant At Dundalk Stadium Apprentice Handicap · 6f
#11
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength13%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.4)
Highest class: BHA52
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | Limerick | BHA55 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Down Royal | BHA55 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | BHA52 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Dundalk | BHA55 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Naas | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-11 | Dundalk | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/12/2025 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 54% | +0.17 |
| 11/02/2026 | 7th | 6/4 | 92% | 14% | -0.78 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/04/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 11/07/2026 | 12th | 10/1 | 47% | 15% | -0.32 |