4

Castilian Queen

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty when fourth of 17 in a maiden at Cork 16 days ago on debut, faring best of the newcomers and not knocked about. Now switches to all-weather and is open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20264th8/158%81%+0.23