6

Crayons In The Sky

2yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 90

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 7f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

87%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Runner-up twice, including when second of 14 at this track in August. Step up to 7f should suit as half-sister to a 1¼m winner and a reproduction of her latest effort should see her in the mix.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Fairyhouse 01/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 6f Goo 1291/07C?C8 @ Fairyhouse 08/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f Goo 1288/07C8C8 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 6f Std 13015/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-15Dundalk?2nd2nd0
2026-07-08Fairyhouse?4th4th0
2026-07-01Fairyhouse?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/078/0715/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -23.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20262nd12/137%86%+0.49
08/07/20264th10/382%63%-0.20
15/08/20262nd15/890%92%+0.02