7

Haven

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 7f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

5%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Took a big step forward from debut effort when second of 17 in a maiden over this trip at Cork 16 days ago, keeping on. Open to further improvement switched to all-weather and very much respected for top yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 28/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f Yie 12828/07C8C8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 17 · OR - · 7f Goo 1289/09C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?2nd2nd0
2026-07-28Galway?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/07/20268th16/116%36%+0.21
09/09/20262nd6/168%94%+0.25