15

Lady H

2yo Filly · 9-2

Dundalk · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden · 7f

#4

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

★ Timeform

Commentary

€190,000 purchase who showed inexperience on debut and did little better when tenth of 21 at Naas 8 days ago. Steps up to 7f and tries all-weather for the first time. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.0 /10 (raw 10.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 23/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 12823/08C8C8 @ Naas 17/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR - · 5f205y Yie 12817/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Naas?10th10th0
2026-08-23Naas?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0817/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength74%

Delivery trend +19.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/202610th28/10%36%+0.36
17/09/202610th66/10%55%+0.55