2
Beat The Devil
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 56
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: BHA48
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA57 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | BHA62 | 18th | 18th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Curragh | BHA62 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Sligo | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Downpatrick | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Leopardstown | BHA63 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength73%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 54% | -0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 92% | +0.39 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 12/04/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 25% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 40% | +0.14 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 22/08/2026 | 18th | 25/1 | 0% | 35% | +0.35 |
| 18/09/2026 | 9th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.46 |