3
Bright Dick
6yo Colt · 9-12 · OR 54
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Gowran Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-07-11 | Leopardstown | BHA56 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2024-06-22 | Limerick | BHA60 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2024-06-08 | Navan | BHA63 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2024-05-17 | Leopardstown | BHA64 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Dundalk | BHA64 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
Delivery trend +3.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/12/2023 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 54% | -0.25 |
| 31/01/2024 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 62% | +0.14 |
| 05/04/2024 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 13/04/2024 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 17/05/2024 | 10th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 08/06/2024 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 43% | +0.27 |
| 22/06/2024 | 9th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.01 |
| 11/07/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 01/09/2026 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |