5
Colugo
5yo Mare · 9-9 · OR 51
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#9
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 11.0 /10 (raw 7.1)
Highest class: BHA47
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laytown | BHA47 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Bellewstown | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Leopardstown | BHA53 | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Listowel | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Ballinrobe | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sligo | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength13%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/11/2025 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 85% | +0.06 |
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 85% | +0.11 |
| 19/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 26/05/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 01/06/2026 | 8th | 200/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 11/06/2026 | 15th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 03/07/2026 | 15th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 10/09/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |