IvyArcIvyArc
13

Lady Landhort

3yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 45

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#11

Rank

Odds

13/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Course winner. Respectable sixth of 22 in handicap at Cork (7f, soft) 16 days ago, never nearer. Looks worth a try at 1m on that evidence.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class: BHA40
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA50 @ Dundalk 23/01/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR 50 · 5f Std 119 · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 50 par23/0150OR 50BHA49 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 49 · 6f Std 119 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 49 parBHA53 @ Dundalk 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR 53 · 6f Std 125 · beat its mark01/04/2026 · OR 53 par1/0453OR 53BHA53 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 53 · 5f Std 124 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 53 parBHA50 @ Down Royal 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 50 · 5f Goo 123 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 50 par29/0550OR 50BHA48 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 120 · beat its mark14/08/2026 · OR 48 parBHA48 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR 48 · 5f Goo 119 · beat its mark16/08/2026 · OR 48 par16/0848OR 48BHA43 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 15th of 27 · OR 43 · 6f Goo 119 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 43 parBHA40 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 22 · OR 40 · 7f Goo 119 · beat its mark09/09/2026 · OR 40 par9/0940OR 40projClass-projected finish: 9th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA406th6th0
2026-08-22CurraghBHA4315th15th0
2026-08-16CurraghBHA4810th10th0
2026-08-14CorkBHA4812th12th0
2026-05-29Down RoyalBHA505th5th0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA533rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0123/0416/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +0.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/01/202613th20/10%8%+0.08
13/03/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
01/04/20268th12/137%42%+0.05
23/04/20263rd11/142%71%+0.29
29/05/20265th17/255%56%+0.00
14/08/202612th12/137%0%-0.37
16/08/202610th40/10%10%+0.10
22/08/202615th50/10%46%+0.46
09/09/20266th40/10%76%+0.76