14
Leannespour
3yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 42
Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m
#14
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#14
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.5)
Highest class: BHA43
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA43 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cork | BHA45 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gowran Park | BHA45 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Curragh | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2025-09-06 | Navan | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1744% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/2025 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 27/09/2025 | 14th | 125/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/06/2026 | 15th | 150/1 | 0% | 26% | +0.26 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 14/08/2026 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 56% | -0.07 |
| 18/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 69% | +0.01 |