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8

Queen Leila

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 52

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★ Timeform

Commentary

Had the benefit of an enterprising ride when winning 10-runner handicap over C&D in April, making all. Ridden differently and never a factor both starts since having been off 4 months.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 6.8)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA62 @ Dundalk 14/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 62 · 1m Std 130 · below its mark14/11/2025 · OR 62 par14/1162OR 62BHA58 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR 58 · 1m Std 128 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 58 parBHA52 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 52 · 7f Std 130 · beat its mark30/01/2026 · OR 52 par30/0152OR 52BHA56 @ Dundalk 27/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 56 · 7f Std 124 · beat its mark27/02/2026 · OR 56 parBHA54 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR 54 · 6f Std 124 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 54 par13/0354OR 54BHA52 @ Dundalk 10/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 52 · 7f Std 120 · beat its mark10/04/2026 · OR 52 parBHA52 @ Dundalk 23/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR 52 · 1m Std 130 · beat its mark23/04/2026 · OR 52 par23/0452OR 52BHA57 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 57 · 1m Std 132 · below its mark15/08/2026 · OR 57 parBHA55 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 17th of 21 · OR 55 · 1m2f10y Gd 133 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 55 par5/0955OR 55projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05NavanBHA5517th17th0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA5712th12th0
2026-04-23DundalkBHA521st1st0
2026-04-10DundalkBHA524th4th0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA548th8th0
2026-02-27DundalkBHA567th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/1127/0223/045/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1763% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength15%

Delivery trend +0.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20259th28/10%27%+0.27
03/12/20257th50/10%40%+0.40
30/01/20262nd7/282%92%+0.11
27/02/20267th7/163%50%-0.13
13/03/20268th7/163%36%-0.27
10/04/20264th4/179%73%-0.06
23/04/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
15/08/202612th28/10%15%+0.15
05/09/202617th66/10%20%+0.20