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4

Storm Eric

7yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 53

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

57%

Place Prob

50%

Rank

#2

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner who had been running consistently here early this year, finishing in the frame on all 6 starts between January and March. Blinkers back on and right back to form when runner-up here last week. Obvious claims from 2 lb higher.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: BHA51
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA53 @ Dundalk 09/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR 53 · 1m Std 135 · beat its mark09/01/2026 · OR 53 par9/0153OR 53BHA53 @ Dundalk 13/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 53 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · beat its mark13/01/2026 · OR 53 parBHA56 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR 56 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 56 par20/0256OR 56BHA55 @ Dundalk 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 137 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 55 parBHA55 @ Dundalk 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 125 · beat its mark20/03/2026 · OR 55 par20/0355OR 55BHA55 @ Dundalk 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 55 · 1m2f150y Std 138 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 55 parC8 @ Wexford 07/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 2m180y Goo 1667/08C8BHA54 @ Dundalk 15/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR 54 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · beat its mark15/08/2026 · OR 54 parBHA51 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR 51 · 1m Std 135 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 51 par18/0951OR 51projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA512nd2nd0
2026-08-15DundalkBHA548th8th0
2026-08-07Wexford?13th13th0
2026-03-27DundalkBHA552nd2nd0
2026-03-20DundalkBHA553rd3rd0
2026-03-13DundalkBHA552nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0113/037/0818/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 17100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 17.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/01/20263rd14/126%85%+0.58
13/01/20262nd5/174%92%+0.19
20/02/20264th11/271%77%+0.06
13/03/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
20/03/20263rd11/271%83%+0.12
27/03/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
07/08/202613th66/10%8%+0.08
15/08/20268th11/142%46%+0.04
18/09/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92