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Usuario Amigo

5yo Gelding · 10-2 · OR 58

Dundalk · Irishinjuredjockeys.com Handicap (0-60) · 1m

#8

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Not so good as he once was but much-reduced mark reflects that and made more of an impact when third at Navan at the start of the month. Mid-field over C&D last week.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C6.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA74 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 74 · 7f Sft 124 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 74 par19/0574OR 74BHA70 @ Limerick 10/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR 70 · 1m Yie 140 · below its mark10/06/2026 · OR 70 parBHA67 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 20 · OR 67 · 1m Gd 129 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par26/0667OR 67BHA64 @ Limerick 11/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 64 · 6f150y Gd 127 · below its mark11/07/2026 · OR 64 parBHA64 @ Killarney 14/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR 64 · 1m30y Gd 134 · below its mark14/07/2026 · OR 64 par14/0764OR 64C7 @ Killarney 15/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR 62 · 1m40y Gd 142 · below its mark15/07/2026 · OR 62 parBHA59 @ Gowran Park 25/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR 59 · 7f Goo 141 · beat its mark25/07/2026 · OR 59 par25/0759OR 59BHA57 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR 57 · 1m20y Goo 139 · beat its mark02/09/2026 · OR 57 parBHA58 @ Dundalk 18/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR 58 · 1m Std 142 · beat its mark18/09/2026 · OR 58 par18/0958OR 58projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-18DundalkBHA586th6th0
2026-09-02NavanBHA573rd3rd0
2026-07-25Gowran ParkBHA5910th10th0
2026-07-15Killarney?7th7th0
2026-07-14KillarneyBHA649th9th0
2026-07-11LimerickBHA6411th11th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0511/0725/0718/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength83%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/05/20267th9/153%14%-0.38
10/06/202612th11/142%21%-0.21
26/06/202610th40/10%53%+0.53
11/07/202611th17/255%0%-0.55
14/07/20269th10/147%38%-0.09
15/07/20267th14/126%54%+0.28
25/07/202610th11/271%40%-0.31
02/09/20263rd9/153%87%+0.34
18/09/20266th6/168%62%-0.07