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Geryon

3yo Colt · 9-6 · OR 112

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f 150y

#6

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Gained a deserved first success at pattern level in the Meld Stakes at Leopardstown (9f) in July before a very good second in Gordon Stakes at Glorious Goodwood 2 weeks later. Better than result in Strensall Stakes at York last month, making effort earlier than ideal. Type to bounce back.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack1 @ Curragh 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 7f Gd 131 · HIGHER CLASS23/0811 @ Curragh 27/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m Yie 131 · HIGHER CLASS1 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 107 · 7f42y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 107 par12/041OR 1071 @ Curragh 04/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 106 · 1m Gd 131 · beat its mark04/05/2026 · OR 106 par1 @ Navan 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 102 · 1m1f Goo 124 · beat its mark07/06/2026 · OR 102 par7/061OR 1021 @ Curragh 28/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 102 · 1m2f Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark28/06/2026 · OR 102 par1 @ Leopardstown 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 106 · 1m1f Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 106 par16/071OR 1061 @ Goodwood 30/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 106 · 1m3f218y Goo 132 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/07/2026 · OR 106 par1 @ York 22/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 112 · 1m177y Goo 129 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 112 par22/081OR 112projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22York15th5th+0
2026-07-30Goodwood12nd2nd+0
2026-07-16Leopardstown11st1st+0
2026-06-28Curragh14th4th+0
2026-06-07Navan13rd3rd0
2026-05-04Curragh14th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/084/0516/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/08/20252nd3/184%75%-0.09
27/09/20252nd9/488%75%-0.13
12/04/20264th17/255%70%+0.15
04/05/20264th5/174%50%-0.24
07/06/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
28/06/20264th16/116%50%+0.34
16/07/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
30/07/20262nd15/261%83%+0.23
22/08/20265th9/276%60%-0.16