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2

Military Order

6yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 111

Dundalk · BAR 1 Betting Diamond Stakes (Listed) · 1m 2f 150y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/4

Win Prob

43%

Place Prob

45%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Very smart gelding who has an excellent strike rate on the all-weather. Has proved at least as effective on turf, making the places in Group company on last 3 starts in 2025. Off 10 months but that's rarely an issue with this yard, who are in tremendous form. Sets the standard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.6
Today: 1
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Southwell 25/01/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 109 · 1m3f24y Std 128 · beat its mark25/01/2024 · OR 109 par25/012OR 1091 @ Southwell 24/02/2024 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 109 · 1m3f23y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/02/2024 · OR 109 parC0 @ ParisLongchamp 07/04/2024 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 111 · 1m1f207y Hvy 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/04/2024 · OR 111 par7/04C?OR 1111 @ Kempton 21/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 111 · 1m1f219y Sta 129 · beat its mark21/04/2025 · OR 111 par1 @ Sandown 29/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 112 · 1m1f209y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark29/05/2025 · OR 112 par29/051OR 1121 @ Royal Ascot 17/06/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR 112 · 1m1f212y Goo 134 · beat its mark17/06/2025 · OR 112 par1 @ Haydock 09/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 112 · 1m2f100y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/08/2025 · OR 112 par9/081OR 1121 @ Windsor 23/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 112 · 1m2f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 112 par1 @ Bahrain 14/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 111 · 1m1f208y Gd 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark14/11/2025 · OR 111 par14/111OR 111projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-11-14Bahrain13rd3rd+0
2025-08-23Windsor12nd2nd+0
2025-08-09Haydock12nd2nd+0
2025-06-17Royal Ascot16th6th0
2025-05-29Sandown14th4th+0
2025-04-21Kempton11st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0121/049/0814/11
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +3.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20242nd11/893%80%-0.13
24/02/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
07/04/20247th5/287%0%-0.87
21/04/20251st11/271%100%+0.29
29/05/20254th11/142%50%+0.08
17/06/20256th14/126%67%+0.40
09/08/20252nd5/174%83%+0.10
23/08/20252nd1/297%75%-0.22
14/11/20253rd7/163%71%+0.08