13
Cozone
9yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 67
Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y
#15
Rank
Odds
66/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 7.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C9.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Listowel | BHA109 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-04 | Down Royal | BHA70 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-31 | Downpatrick | BHA109 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Downpatrick | BHA101 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Limerick | BHA100 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Down Royal | BHA100 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 6-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength31%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/02/2025 | 11th | 28/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 08/03/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/04/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 72% | -0.01 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 13/06/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 04/09/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 24/09/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 79% | +0.63 |