2
Flame Of Forest
4yo Gelding · 10-0 · OR 80
Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-10 | Limerick | BHA80 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | BHA81 | 17th | 17th | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Newcastle | 2 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Wolverhampton | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Newcastle | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-05-19 | Carlisle | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1738% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 19/05/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 27/10/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 27/12/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 91% | +0.25 |
| 16/01/2026 | 12th | 20/1 | 0% | 8% | +0.08 |
| 23/05/2026 | 17th | 28/1 | 0% | 16% | +0.16 |
| 10/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |