9
Hamiyan
3yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 75
Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y
#16
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: BHA77
Recent avg: C7.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Naas | BHA77 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Leopardstown | BHA77 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Curragh | BHA79 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | BHA82 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-20 | Gowran Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-09 | Galway | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/2025 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 09/09/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 86% | +0.02 |
| 20/09/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 73% | -0.04 |
| 19/04/2026 | 12th | 11/2 | 71% | 8% | -0.63 |
| 09/07/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 03/08/2026 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 10% | -0.56 |