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3yo Colt · 9-3 · OR 75

Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y

#12

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Held an Irish Derby entry when making a winning start in a 14-runner maiden (6/4) here (1m) in January. However, well beaten in decent events after 6 months off so something to prove now handicapping.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 30/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m Std 13430/01C8C0 @ Leopardstown 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 1m5f Goo 13523/07C?C0 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR - · 1m2f63y Yie 13331/08C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?5th5th0
2026-07-23Leopardstown?4th4th0
2026-01-30Dundalk?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0123/0731/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1750% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%

Delivery trend -3.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/01/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
23/07/20264th4/179%0%-0.79
31/08/20265th33/10%0%0.00