17

Rock Of Claremont

3yo Gelding · 9-11 · OR 83

Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y

#6

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-related son of Profitable who improved again when off the mark in Gowran maiden 6 weeks ago in this headgear. That form has taken some knocks but remains unexposed heading into handicaps. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 26/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m Gd 13426/06C8C8 @ Dundalk 12/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m Std 13412/07C8C8 @ Gowran Park 12/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m1f100y GF 13412/08C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-12Gowran Park?1st1st0
2026-07-12Dundalk?3rd3rd0
2026-06-26Curragh?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/0612/0712/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%

Delivery trend -9.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/06/20265th16/116%67%+0.51
12/07/20263rd5/174%78%+0.04
12/08/20261st6/168%100%+0.32