12
Sakoku
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 75
Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y
#8
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Curragh | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Curragh | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1775% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2026 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 18/06/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 89% | +0.73 |
| 19/07/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 95% | +0.29 |