15

Trumph

3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 65

Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y

#17

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sent off at 150/1 but showed a lot more when sixth in maiden at Cork last month. However, down the field switched to handicaps since and back up in trip now on all-weather debut. RESERVE.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 11.4)

Highest class: BHA68
Recent avg: C7.6
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 18/10/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 7f30y Yie 12818/10C8C8 @ Galway 31/07/2026 · Pos 16th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f Yie 12931/07C8C8 @ Cork 14/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f90y Goo 12914/08C8BHA70 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 70 · 1m20y Goo 135 · below its mark27/08/2026 · OR 70 par27/0870OR 70BHA68 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 16th of 18 · OR 68 · 1m Goo 134 · below its mark09/09/2026 · OR 68 par9/0968OR 68projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09CorkBHA6816th16th0
2026-08-27NavanBHA7011th11th0
2026-08-14Cork?6th6th0
2026-07-31Galway?16th16th0
2025-10-18Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/1031/0714/0827/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 11-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -9.8% per run

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/10/20258th25/10%42%+0.42
31/07/202616th66/10%0%0.00
14/08/20266th150/10%50%+0.50
27/08/202611th10/147%9%-0.38
09/09/202616th25/10%12%+0.12