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6

Walhaan

10yo Gelding · 9-7 · OR 73

Dundalk · Bookings Open For Christmas Parties At Dundalk Stadium Handicap · 1m 2f 150y

#4

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

13%

Place Prob

17%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Four-time C&D winner who struggled back on turf when last seen earlier this year. Last win came over C&D last December off 7 lb higher but this 10-y-o is likely to need this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength15%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackBHA86 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR 86 · 1m Std 136 · below its mark10/10/2025 · OR 86 par10/1086OR 86BHA83 @ Dundalk 17/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 83 · 1m2f150y Std 133 · below its mark17/10/2025 · OR 83 parBHA80 @ Dundalk 03/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 80 · 1m2f150y Std 140 · beat its mark03/12/2025 · OR 80 par3/1280OR 80BHA114 @ Leopardstown 27/12/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 114 · 2m Yie 143 · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 114 parBHA83 @ Dundalk 28/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m2f150y Std 143 · below its mark28/01/2026 · OR 83 par28/0183OR 83BHA82 @ Dundalk 11/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 82 · 1m2f150y Std 135 · below its mark11/02/2026 · OR 82 parBHA81 @ Dundalk 20/02/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 81 · 1m4f Std 141 · below its mark20/02/2026 · OR 81 par20/0281OR 81BHA79 @ Leopardstown 12/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR 79 · 1m Goo 139 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 79 parBHA76 @ Leopardstown 04/06/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR 76 · 1m1f Sft 136 · below its mark04/06/2026 · OR 76 par4/0676OR 76projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04LeopardstownBHA7614th14th0
2026-05-09KillarneyBHA1100
2026-04-12LeopardstownBHA7911th11th0
2026-02-20DundalkBHA818th8th0
2026-02-11DundalkBHA823rd3rd0
2026-01-28DundalkBHA834th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1027/1220/024/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 12-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -3.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
17/10/20255th18/15%20%+0.15
03/12/20251st9/153%100%+0.47
27/12/202511th18/15%38%+0.32
28/01/20264th9/153%50%-0.03
11/02/20263rd10/382%33%-0.49
20/02/20268th8/158%22%-0.36
12/04/202611th28/10%38%+0.38
04/06/202614th40/10%7%+0.07