17
Aiteall
3yo Gelding · 9-1 · OR 51
Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) · 1m 4f
#12
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#12
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 10.2 /10 (raw 10.2)
Highest class: BHA54
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Dundalk | BHA54 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Cork | BHA60 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Leopardstown | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Tramore | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Leopardstown | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1719% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength9%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08/2026 | 13th | 16/1 | 16% | 8% | -0.08 |
| 15/08/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 20/08/2026 | 10th | 200/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 30/08/2026 | 14th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 18/09/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 46% | -0.01 |