12
Chant D'or
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 40
Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) · 1m 4f
#17
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 11.4 /10 (raw 11.4)
Highest class: BHA42
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Clonmel | BHA42 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-09-02 | Navan | BHA45 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Curragh | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Curragh | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2025-07-12 | Limerick | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish17th of 170% of fieldRange 13-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength12%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 17th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/2025 | 11th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/09/2025 | 15th | 400/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 21/10/2025 | 12th | 300/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 02/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 16/09/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |