8
Chapel Island
3yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 55
Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) · 1m 4f
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength37%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 7.2)
Highest class: BHA58
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Navan | BHA58 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Gowran Park | BHA58 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | BHA59 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Naas | BHA60 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | BHA62 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Fairyhouse | BHA64 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 4-17 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend -0.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 8th of 17.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 12th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/08/2025 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 28/05/2026 | 8th | 7/2 | 82% | 42% | -0.40 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 50% | -0.32 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 27/08/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 59% | +0.11 |