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3yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 58

Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) · 1m 4f

#2

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

7%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Improved when runner-up at Roscommon on handicap debut in May. Best effort since when ½-length second at Down Royal last time, responding well to first-time cheekpieces/an attacking ride. Could be dangerous if able to get to the lead from stall 14.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: BHA56
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Dundalk 29/10/2025 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 7f Std 13329/10C8C8 @ Dundalk 07/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m Std 131C8 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 7f Gd 13410/05C8BHA58 @ Roscommon 18/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR 58 · 1m4f17y Yie 126 · beat its mark18/05/2026 · OR 58 parBHA61 @ Down Royal 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 61 · 1m2f96y Sft 131 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 61 par20/0661OR 61BHA60 @ Naas 04/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR 60 · 1m2f194y Goo 140 · beat its mark04/07/2026 · OR 60 parBHA59 @ Navan 27/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR 59 · 1m6f Goo 129 · beat its mark27/08/2026 · OR 59 par27/0859OR 59BHA56 @ Down Royal 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 56 · 1m4f194y Goo 130 · beat its mark04/09/2026 · OR 56 par4/0956OR 56projClass-projected finish: 4th of 17
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Down RoyalBHA562nd2nd0
2026-08-27NavanBHA596th6th0
2026-07-04NaasBHA607th7th0
2026-06-20Down RoyalBHA614th4th0
2026-05-18RoscommonBHA582nd2nd0
2026-05-10Leopardstown?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1018/0527/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength81%

Delivery trend -3.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/10/202512th33/10%8%+0.08
07/11/202510th200/10%25%+0.25
10/05/20268th22/10%13%+0.13
18/05/20262nd18/15%92%+0.86
20/06/20264th5/287%67%-0.20
04/07/20267th4/179%60%-0.19
27/08/20266th13/266%71%+0.05
04/09/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12