Sonny Corleone
3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 59
Dundalk · Celebrate Your Special Occasion At Dundalk Stadium Handicap (0-60) · 1m 4f
#13
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-20 | Listowel | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-05 | Sligo | BHA63 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Dundalk | BHA65 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-28 | Dundalk | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Dundalk | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -18.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 10th | 300/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 28/01/2026 | 4th | 125/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 70% | +0.17 |
| 12/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 05/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 11% | -0.52 |
| 20/09/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |