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5

Win Jet Win

2yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 71

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +2.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 22/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS22/05C6C6 @ Gulfstream 20/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 71 · 4f110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark20/06/2026 · OR 71 par20/06C6OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-20Gulfstream?7th4th+3
2026-05-22Gulfstream?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0520/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -113.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/05/20264th20/10%50%+0.50
20/06/20267th7/163%0%-0.63