Classy Lass
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 87
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 26/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 91% | +0.22 |
| 09/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 56% | -0.23 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 71% | -0.08 |
| 26/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 26/04/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 19/06/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |