Logistics
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 29/03/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 71% | -0.22 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 63% | -0.19 |
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 13% | -0.53 |
| 08/08/2026 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 57% | -0.25 |