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5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
34%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-04-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-01-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 15/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 75% | -0.21 |
| 01/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 50% | +0.34 |
| 29/01/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 71% | +0.19 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 17/04/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 13/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 15/08/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 30/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |