Simply Striking
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 90
Gulfstream · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m
#1
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
56%
Place Prob
40%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08/2024 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 05/10/2024 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 01/11/2024 | 10th | 25/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 18/12/2024 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 88% | +0.51 |
| 16/01/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 13/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 67% | +0.06 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |