6
Brenna
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength68%
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 11/01/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/11 | 95% | 67% | -0.29 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 40% | -0.21 |
| 12/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 60% | -0.03 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 06/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 09/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |