2
Magnetic Beach
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -0.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/11/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 19/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 12/02/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 63% | -0.01 |
| 08/05/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 80% | -0.11 |
| 19/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 33% | -0.57 |