5
Slew Diva
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
93%
Place Prob
72%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-03-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength58%
Delivery trend -1.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 88% | +0.22 |
| 21/11/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 40% | -0.44 |
| 19/12/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 83% | -0.09 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 2/7 | 99% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 02/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/4 | 92% | 75% | -0.17 |
| 09/08/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 83% | +0.36 |