3
Wicked Legacy
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 61
Gulfstream · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend -0.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/12/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 31/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 73% | +0.57 |
| 07/03/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 21/03/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 80% | +0.64 |
| 19/04/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 03/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 29/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |