1
Bonmati
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 72
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength82%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 23/11/2025 | 10th | 13/2 | 66% | 18% | -0.48 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 19/02/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 09/05/2026 | 8th | 13/2 | 66% | 22% | -0.44 |
| 17/05/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |