Gullfaxi
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 6 - Claiming · 7f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-12-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-10-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 04/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |
| 22/06/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 12/10/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/12/2025 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 22/03/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 20% | -0.70 |
| 07/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 13/07/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 80% | -0.10 |