Colombina
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 66
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -28.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 80% | +0.54 |
| 08/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |