4

Laura L
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 68
Gulfstream · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f
#7
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 6-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength6%
Delivery trend +4.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/09/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |