4
Jestina
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 88
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
8/5
Win Prob
91%
Place Prob
71%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 1.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 26/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 16/04/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 15/05/2026 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |