Take Dat
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 76
Gulfstream · Race 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 7f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-08-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 7th | −2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-04-26 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-10 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 2nd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/12/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 25% | -0.51 |
| 01/02/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 15/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 26/04/2026 | 1st | 4/9 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 12/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 03/08/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |