Escargot

3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 76

Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

95%

Place Prob

76%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark

Move▬

Strength33%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +0.5

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-08	Gulfstream	?	3rd	2nd	+1	7.6
2026-07-04	Gulfstream	?	3rd	2nd	+1	7.6
2026-06-14	Gulfstream	?	3rd	2nd	+1	7.6
2026-05-09	Gulfstream	?	5th	4th	+1	5.6

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength80%

Delivery trend +4.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/05/2026	5th	11/2	71%	43%	-0.28
14/06/2026	3rd	4/1	79%	75%	-0.04
04/07/2026	3rd	5/1	74%	75%	+0.01
08/08/2026	3rd	9/2	76%	60%	-0.16