9
Lady Summer
3yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 64
Gulfstream · Race 9 - Maiden Optional Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
Delivery trend -10.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 27/06/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 09/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |