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Pleasant Man

8yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 69

Haydock · EITC Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 42y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Veteran who isn't the force of old but won an ordinary affair at Doncaster in June. Had limitations exposed when third of 4 at Yarmouth next time and never involved in a better race at York (1½m, good to firm) when last seen 11 weeks ago. May face competition for the lead again.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength51%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 69 · 1m2f Std 156 · beat its mark27/03/2026 · OR 69 par27/035OR 695 @ Southwell 11/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR 71 · 1m3f23y Std 131 · below its mark11/04/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Doncaster 02/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 71 · 1m3f197y Goo 131 · beat its mark02/05/2026 · OR 71 par2/055OR 715 @ Lingfield 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 70 · 1m3f133y Gd 135 · below its mark19/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Wolverhampton 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 68 · 1m4f51y Std 154 · beat its mark29/05/2026 · OR 68 par29/055OR 685 @ Wolverhampton 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 67 · 1m1f104y Std 134 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Doncaster 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 67 · 1m3f197y GF 132 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 67 par20/065OR 675 @ Yarmouth 02/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR 70 · 1m3f104y GF 140 · beat its mark02/07/2026 · OR 70 par4 @ York 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m3f188y Goo 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark10/07/2026 · OR 70 par10/074OR 70projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-10York48th7th+1
2026-07-02Yarmouth53rd3rd0
2026-06-20Doncaster51st1st0
2026-06-16Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2026-05-29Wolverhampton53rd3rd0
2026-05-19Lingfield57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0319/0520/0610/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%

Delivery trend +5.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20262nd10/382%91%+0.08
11/04/20269th5/287%0%-0.87
02/05/20264th12/137%40%+0.03
19/05/20267th15/261%14%-0.46
29/05/20263rd12/137%82%+0.45
16/06/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75
20/06/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
02/07/20263rd11/486%33%-0.52
10/07/20268th33/10%22%+0.22