2
Solanna
7yo Gelding · 9-13 · OR 69
Haydock · EITC Training Series Final Apprentice Handicap · 1m 2f 42y
#1
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#1
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Yarmouth | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kempton | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Ffos Las | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Yarmouth | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Southwell | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength32%
Delivery trend -2.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 02/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 63% | -0.27 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 83% | +0.01 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 2/1 | 89% | 44% | -0.45 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |